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Author Topic: Hotforex.com - Market Analysis and News.  (Read 23574 times)

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Offline HotForexsignal

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Re: Hotforex.com - Market Analysis and News.
« Reply #30 on: January 27, 2019, 01:30:11 PM »
USD/JPY Forex News and Analysis - Strengthens Over 110.452, Weakens Under 109.445
 
 Based on the order of last weeks price movement and close at 109.545, the giving out of the USD/JPY is likely to be included by trader submission to the main 50% level at 109.445.
 
 The Dollar/Yen closed lower vis--vis the order of Friday and for the week as investors prepared for later-door weeks U.S. Federal Reserve inclusion rate decision and monetary policy poster. The complaint stemmed from expectations the central bank would depart organization rates unchanged and reports it was in addition to bringing a mount happening less to its tab sheet dwindling program. Both moves are considered dovish by investors.
 
 On Friday, the USD/JPY granted at 109.545, as well as to 0.093 or -0.08%. For the week, the Dollar/Yen closed beside 0.229 or -0.21%.
 
 Earlier in the week, the Dollar/Yen rallied after the Bank of Japan scuff its inflation forecasts but maintained its gigantic stimulus program. The BOJ plus left union rates unchanged. BOJ Governor Haruhiko Kuroda plus warned of growing risks to the economy from trade protectionism and faltering global demand.


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Re: Hotforex.com - Market Analysis and News.
« Reply #31 on: January 28, 2019, 10:41:18 AM »

Date : 28th January 2019.


MACRO EVENTS & NEWS OF 28th January 2019.






FX News Today


* 10-year Treasury yields corrected from Friday’s highs and are down -1.8 bp at 2.740%.


* Stock markets in Asia initially got support from US President Trump’s agreement to a temporary end to the 35-day partial government shutdown which underpinned Wall Street on Friday.


* However, Trump also threatened to resume the shutdown on Feb 15 if his demands on the financing of a border wall are not met.


* Japan underperformed and Topix and Nikkei were under pressure from the off, while elsewhere gains faded during the course of the session as markets continue to fret over potential risk factors, first and foremost the US-Sino trade talks and Brexit.


* Topix and Nikkei lost -0.68% and -0.60% respectively. The Hang Seng is now down -0.105 and the CSI 300 down -0.06%.


* Australia is shut for a holiday and US futures are heading south.


* Oil prices fell back from a session high of USD 53.64 per barrel and the front end WTI future is now at USD 53.01 per barrel.


Charts of the Day





Main Macro Events Today


* ECB Draghi Speech (EUR, GMT 14:00) – The ECB President is due to testify at the European Parliament in Brussels.


* New Zealand Trade Balance (NZD, GMT 22:45) – The New Zealand trade balance is expected to have come out in surplus area in December, compared to a deficit in November.


Support and Resistance Levels





Always trade with strict risk management. Your capital is the single most important aspect of your trading business.


Please note that times displayed based on local time zone and are from time of writing this report.


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Disclaimer: This material is provided as a general marketing communication for information purposes only and does not constitute an independent investment research. Nothing in this communication contains, or should be considered as containing, an investment advice or an investment recommendation or a solicitation for the purpose of buying or selling of any financial instrument. All information provided is gathered from reputable sources and any information containing an indication of past performance is not a guarantee or reliable indicator of future performance. Users acknowledge that any investment in FX and CFDs products is characterized by a certain degree of uncertainty and that any investment of this nature involves a high level of risk for which the users are solely responsible and liable. We assume no liability for any loss arising from any investment made based on the information provided in this communication. This communication must not be reproduced or further distributed without our prior written permission.

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Re: Hotforex.com - Market Analysis and News.
« Reply #32 on: January 29, 2019, 01:57:06 PM »

Date : 29th January 2019.


MACRO EVENTS & NEWS OF 29th January 2019.






FX News Today


* US equities turned lower after a miss by CAT and warning from Nvidia, both partly blaming the global slowdown and China in particular for their woes;yields back down.


* Criminal charges in the US against Chinese telecom giant Huawei overshadow trade talks and prevent a long-awaited US-Sino deal.


* Topix and Nikkei lost -0.63% and -0.47% respectively.


* Brexit at complex crossroads in UK; today’s parliamentary votes may clear picture


* Oil prices are higher and the front end WTI future is trading at USD 52.43 per barrel.


* EURUSD recovered to clear 1.14, up from last week’s 6-wk low at 1.1289.


* USDJPY came off highs, concurrently with correction in global stock markets.


Charts of the Day





Main Macro Events Today


* Brexit:
 *A number of amendments are due to be voted today in Parliament, including ones that seek to either delay Brexit from March 29, or to legislate against there being a no-deal Brexit, or opens the way to a second referendum on EU membership.


 *Parliament is also due to vote on the Prime Minister May’s Withdrawal Agreement, which lacking a concession from the EU to write-in an amendment that legally time limits the Irish backstop, or allows the UK to unilaterally withdraw from it, looks set to be rejected.


 *A no-deal Brexit scenario remains a possibility, although May, while using it as a threat, will likely ultimately prevent it, as will Parliament.


* US Consumer Confidence – Expectations –January consumer confidence is expected to decline further to 126.0 from a prior 5-month low of 128.1 in December, versus an 18-year high of 137.9 in October.


* Japanese Retail Trade – Expectations – December retail sales are seen contracting at a -1.0% y/y from -2.2% for large retailers. Total sales are expected to slow further to a 1.0% y/y rate from 1.4% in November and 3.6% in October.


Support and Resistance Levels





Always trade with strict risk management. Your capital is the single most important aspect of your trading business.


Please note that times displayed based on local time zone and are from time of writing this report.


Want to learn to trade and analyse the markets? Join our webinars and get analysis and trading ideas combined with better understanding on how markets work.

Andria Pichidi
Market Analyst
HotForex

Disclaimer: This material is provided as a general marketing communication for information purposes only and does not constitute an independent investment research. Nothing in this communication contains, or should be considered as containing, an investment advice or an investment recommendation or a solicitation for the purpose of buying or selling of any financial instrument. All information provided is gathered from reputable sources and any information containing an indication of past performance is not a guarantee or reliable indicator of future performance. Users acknowledge that any investment in FX and CFDs products is characterized by a certain degree of uncertainty and that any investment of this nature involves a high level of risk for which the users are solely responsible and liable. We assume no liability for any loss arising from any investment made based on the information provided in this communication. This communication must not be reproduced or further distributed without our prior written permission.

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Re: Hotforex.com - Market Analysis and News.
« Reply #33 on: January 30, 2019, 11:34:06 AM »

Date : 30th January 2019.


MACRO EVENTS & NEWS OF 30th January 2019.






FX News Today


* Stock markets traded mixed in Asia – NASDAQ is outperforming, Nikkei lost -0.52% and UK100 futures are moving higher.


* No more bad news from Apple: Apple Inc.’s report of sharp growth in its services business helped to underpin sentiment,.


* Brexit: UK lawmakers didn’t vote to extend the Brexit deadline. PM May heads back to Brussels to re-negotiate backstop.


* EU leaders were once again quick to stress that the legal text of the withdrawal agreement is not up for discussion.


* French GDP numbers held up better than expected and German GfK consumer confidence unexpectedly jumped higher.


* EURUSD ebbed back to net unchanged (1.1430) after posting 2-week high at 1.1451.


* USDJPY stucks in the mid-to-low 109.0s.


* GBPUSD is trading near 1.3100 from 1.3190 high.


* The front end WTI future is trading at USD 53.42 per barrel.


Charts of the Day





Main Macro Events Today


* German Jan HICP – Expectations -While the German HICP rates are above the Eurozone average now, base effects from lower energy prices continue to keep the headline rate below the ECB’s 2% limit. The preliminary January reading should be at 1.8% y/y .


* ADP Employment – Expectations –The January ADP Employment report should reveal a 195k gain for the month, after a 271k December gain.


* FOMC  – Expectations – The FOMC statement will be released at 19:00 GMT. That will be followed by Chairman Powell’s press conference, which will now be a regular affair at each meeting, although forecasts will continue to be published quarterly. No one expects any action on rates tomorrow (including IOER).  We expect the statement to include the new watchword “patient,” along with “flexible,” with the latter perhaps a nod to the balance sheet, and stress on data dependency.


Support and Resistance Levels





Always trade with strict risk management. Your capital is the single most important aspect of your trading business.


Please note that times displayed based on local time zone and are from time of writing this report.


Want to learn to trade and analyse the markets? Join our webinars and get analysis and trading ideas combined with better understanding on how markets work.

Andria Pichidi
Market Analyst
HotForex

Disclaimer: This material is provided as a general marketing communication for information purposes only and does not constitute an independent investment research. Nothing in this communication contains, or should be considered as containing, an investment advice or an investment recommendation or a solicitation for the purpose of buying or selling of any financial instrument. All information provided is gathered from reputable sources and any information containing an indication of past performance is not a guarantee or reliable indicator of future performance. Users acknowledge that any investment in FX and CFDs products is characterized by a certain degree of uncertainty and that any investment of this nature involves a high level of risk for which the users are solely responsible and liable. We assume no liability for any loss arising from any investment made based on the information provided in this communication. This communication must not be reproduced or further distributed without our prior written permission.

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Re: Hotforex.com - Market Analysis and News.
« Reply #34 on: January 31, 2019, 11:19:03 AM »

Date : 31st January 2019.


MACRO EVENTS & NEWS OF 31st January 2019.






FX News Today


* Asian stock markets rallied after the FOMC, which boosted risk appetite.


* FOMC held policy steady and pledged to be patient with further interest rate hikes – a possible sign that the Fed is signalling a potential end to its tightening cycle.


* Topix and Nikkei climbed 1.08% and 1.06% respectively.


* US Equities firmed after Apple, Boeing, AMD results.


* German Retail Sales slumped 4.3% m/m at the start of the European session. It raised concerns about the health of the German economy.


* European futures are moving higher, in tandem with US futures, after a rally overnight.


* WTI crude +2.0% near $54.50 after small EIA build.


* USDIndex stumbled 0.45% to 95.40; EUR probed 1.15, JPY through 109.00.


Charts of the Day





Main Macro Events Today


* Eurozone Prelim. Flash GDP – Expectations – Overall Eurozone GDP should show growth holding at 0.2% q/q, but with risk to the downside.


* German and EU Unemployment Change – Expectations – A decline is anticipated in the German unemployment number of -4K. The December Eurozone unemployment rate is seen falling back to 7.8% from 7.9%.


* Canadian GDP – Expectations – GDP for November is on track to contract 0.1% in November (m/m, sa) as the sharp decline in oil prices materially impacted the economy.


Support and Resistance Levels





Always trade with strict risk management. Your capital is the single most important aspect of your trading business.


Please note that times displayed based on local time zone and are from time of writing this report.


Want to learn to trade and analyse the markets? Join our webinars and get analysis and trading ideas combined with better understanding on how markets work.

Andria Pichidi
Market Analyst
HotForex

Disclaimer: This material is provided as a general marketing communication for information purposes only and does not constitute an independent investment research. Nothing in this communication contains, or should be considered as containing, an investment advice or an investment recommendation or a solicitation for the purpose of buying or selling of any financial instrument. All information provided is gathered from reputable sources and any information containing an indication of past performance is not a guarantee or reliable indicator of future performance. Users acknowledge that any investment in FX and CFDs products is characterized by a certain degree of uncertainty and that any investment of this nature involves a high level of risk for which the users are solely responsible and liable. We assume no liability for any loss arising from any investment made based on the information provided in this communication. This communication must not be reproduced or further distributed without our prior written permission.

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Re: Hotforex.com - Market Analysis and News.
« Reply #35 on: February 01, 2019, 10:45:06 AM »

Date : 1st February 2019.


MACRO EVENTS & NEWS OF 1st February 2019.






FX News Today


* US-Sino trade talks will continue later this month with the March 1 deadline for tariff hikes coming ever closer. Both sides sounded cautiously optimistic


* Stock markets traded mixed in Asia. Topix and Nikkei closed with a gain of -0.18% and a marginal gain of 0.07% respectively.


* China’s manufacturing PMI decline dropped to the lowest level since February 2016. This revived concerns about the country’s economic strength.


* Earnings reports continue to come into the mix and banks were the biggest drag on Japanese benchmarks, while electronics makers gained.


* European stock futures are moving higher and US futures are now also mostly up as the focus shifts to US jobs data.


* The WTI rallied as much as 2%, peaking at two-plus month highs of $55.32 before falling back to the current $53.80.


* EURUSD eased from 3-week highs, back to 1.1440 area. USDJPY is above 2-week lows and currently retesting 109.


Charts of the Day





Main Macro Events Today


* Eurozone Manuf. PMI – Expectations – January Eurozone Manufacturing PMI will likely be confirmed at just 50.5 from the preliminary print, dropping from December’s 51.4, with confidence data adding to concerns that the slowdown will be more protracted than initially expected.


* Eurozone’s CPI – Expectations –Eurozone preliminary CPI reading for January should be at just 1.5% y/y, down from 1.6% y/y at the end of 2018.


* US Nonfarm Payrolls and ISM Manu. PMI – Expectations – January nonfarm payrolls are expected to increase by 200k, with a 195k private payroll gain. The ISM is expected to slip to a new 2-year low of 54.0 in January from 54.3 in December, versus a 14-year high of 61.4 in August.


Support and Resistance Levels





Always trade with strict risk management. Your capital is the single most important aspect of your trading business.


Please note that times displayed based on local time zone and are from time of writing this report.




Want to learn to trade and analyse the markets? Join our webinars and get analysis and trading ideas combined with better understanding on how markets work.



Andria Pichidi
Market Analyst
HotForex

Disclaimer: This material is provided as a general marketing communication for information purposes only and does not constitute an independent investment research. Nothing in this communication contains, or should be considered as containing, an investment advice or an investment recommendation or a solicitation for the purpose of buying or selling of any financial instrument. All information provided is gathered from reputable sources and any information containing an indication of past performance is not a guarantee or reliable indicator of future performance. Users acknowledge that any investment in FX and CFDs products is characterized by a certain degree of uncertainty and that any investment of this nature involves a high level of risk for which the users are solely responsible and liable. We assume no liability for any loss arising from any investment made based on the information provided in this communication. This communication must not be reproduced or further distributed without our prior written permission.

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Re: Hotforex.com - Market Analysis and News.
« Reply #36 on: February 04, 2019, 12:49:26 PM »

Date : 4th February 2019.


MACRO EVENTS & NEWS OF 4th February 2019.






FX News Today


* 10-year Treasury yields are up 0.7 bp at 2.691%, and 10-year JGB yields climbed 0.8 bp to -0.023%.


* Yields continue to move higher and Asian stock markets mostly managed modest gains in quiet trade, with China and South Korea closed for Lunar New Year celebrations.


* Topix and Nikkei managed gains of 1.07% and 0.46% respectively, while the Hang Seng climbed 0.21% and the ASX closed up 0.48%. US futures are marginally higher.


* US President Trump told CBS trade talks with China are “doing very well” and also sounded confident on an agreement with North Korea, which helped to underpin confidence and risk appetite, after strong US data releases on Friday dampened concern about the outlook for world growth and counterbalanced disappointing forecasts from Amazon.


* Earnings reports will remain a key factor this week alongside fundamentals and political developments in Europe also, where Brexit concerns remain high on the agenda.


Charts of the Day





Main Macro Events Today


* ECB Mersch Speech – Yves Mersch, a member of the ECB Executive Board will speak at Lamfalussy Lectures Conference of Lamfalussy Award at Central Bank of Hungary in Budapest.


* UK Construction PMI – The UK PMI is expected to have stood at 52.6 in January, compared to 52.8 in December.


* US Factory Orders – Factory Orders are expected to have grown by 0.2% in November, compared to -2.1% in October.


Support and Resistance Levels


Always trade with strict risk management. Your capital is the single most important aspect of your trading business.


Please note that times displayed based on local time zone and are from time of writing this report.


Want to learn to trade and analyse the markets? Join our webinars and get analysis and trading ideas combined with better understanding on how markets work.

Dr Nektarios Michail
Market Analyst
HotForex

Disclaimer: This material is provided as a general marketing communication for information purposes only and does not constitute an independent investment research. Nothing in this communication contains, or should be considered as containing, an investment advice or an investment recommendation or a solicitation for the purpose of buying or selling of any financial instrument. All information provided is gathered from reputable sources and any information containing an indication of past performance is not a guarantee or reliable indicator of future performance. Users acknowledge that any investment in FX and CFDs products is characterized by a certain degree of uncertainty and that any investment of this nature involves a high level of risk for which the users are solely responsible and liable. We assume no liability for any loss arising from any investment made based on the information provided in this communication. This communication must not be reproduced or further distributed without our prior written permission.

Offline HFblogNewsTopic starter

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Re: Hotforex.com - Market Analysis and News.
« Reply #37 on: February 05, 2019, 01:05:30 PM »

Date : 5th February 2019.


MACRO EVENTS & NEWS OF 5th February 2019.






FX News Today


* RBA left the cash rate on hold as expected and conceded that some downside risks have increased. RBA set to make subtle shift to the dovish side.


* RBA’s central scenario for the economy is around 3% growth in 2019.


* AUDUSD perked up to 0.7260 from 0.7204.


* Alphabet beat on profits and revenue, by making $8.94 billion on $39.27 billion revenue, but shares fell 3% on continuing pressure on advertising prices and decreasing margins.


* European stock futures are moving higher, while US futures are struggling and slightly in the red.


* Better than expected BRC retail sales out of the UK helped to underpin sentiment ahead of Services PMI.


* WTI retreated 1.2% to $54.0 area, down from 2019 highs of $55.74 bbl – Currently at $55.00 area.


Charts of the Day





Main Macro Events Today


* Eurozone Services PMI – The overall Eurozone Services PMI for January is expected to come in unchanged from the preliminary number at 50.8, which should leave the composite at 50.7.


* UK Service PMI – It is expected to come in with a headline of 51.0 after 51.2 in December.


* EU Retail Sales – They are expected to have corrected -1.8% m/m, after the strong November reading.


* US Service and ISM Non-Manufacturing PMI – The ISM-NMI Index is expected to slip further to 57.5 in January from 58.0 in December, versus a 13-year high of 60.8 in September. Services PMI is expected to be unchanged at 54.2 for January.


Support and Resistance Levels





Always trade with strict risk management. Your capital is the single most important aspect of your trading business.


Please note that times displayed based on local time zone and are from time of writing this report.


Want to learn to trade and analyse the markets? Join our webinars and get analysis and trading ideas combined with better understanding on how markets work.

Andria Pichidi
Market Analyst
HotForex

Disclaimer: This material is provided as a general marketing communication for information purposes only and does not constitute an independent investment research. Nothing in this communication contains, or should be considered as containing, an investment advice or an investment recommendation or a solicitation for the purpose of buying or selling of any financial instrument. All information provided is gathered from reputable sources and any information containing an indication of past performance is not a guarantee or reliable indicator of future performance. Users acknowledge that any investment in FX and CFDs products is characterized by a certain degree of uncertainty and that any investment of this nature involves a high level of risk for which the users are solely responsible and liable. We assume no liability for any loss arising from any investment made based on the information provided in this communication. This communication must not be reproduced or further distributed without our prior written permission.

Offline HFblogNewsTopic starter

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Re: Hotforex.com - Market Analysis and News.
« Reply #38 on: February 07, 2019, 10:57:01 AM »

Date : 7th February 2019.


MACRO EVENTS & NEWS OF 7th February 2019.






FX News Today


* 10-year Treasury yields are down 0.5 bp at 2.690% but JGB yields are up 1.3 bp at -0.016%, despite a 0.59% decline in the Nikkei and a 0.83% drop in the Topix amid another mixed session in Asia.


* Japanese shares were hit by corporate earnings, while the ASX continued to rally, gaining 1.10%, in tandem with local bonds after the dovish shift at the RBA this week.


* The RBI meanwhile surprised with a cut in the repo rate by a quarter point. Hong Kong and China remained closed and despite some movement, investors continue to hold back ahead of the next round of US-Sino trade talks next week.


* US futures are heading south despite a cautiously upbeat assessment of the economy from Fed Chairman Powell, who said “the US economy is now in a good place”.


* The front end WTI future managed a session high of USD 54.04 before falling back to USD 53.79 per barrel.


Charts of the Day





Main Macro Events Today


* Theresa May meetings in Brussels – Theresa May and the European Commission’s president will meet today, with the UK PM hoping to obtain fresh concessions, despite the EU’s insistence that it will not renegotiate the Brexit deal. In late afternoon, May is also expected to meet with Donald Tusk, the European Council President.


* BoE Interest Rate Decision – BoE is not expected to bring forth any changes to its interest rate policy ahead of a Brexit agreement and thus the rate is expected to remain at 0.75%.


* BoE Carney Speech – Mark Carney is expected to speak along with other MPC members about the BoE inflation report.


* Fed Clarida Speech – FOMC Member, Richard Clarida is due to speak at the Czech National Bank’s conference about the neutral interest rate, with audience questions expected.


Support and Resistance Levels





Always trade with strict risk management. Your capital is the single most important aspect of your trading business.


Please note that times displayed based on local time zone and are from time of writing this report.


Want to learn to trade and analyse the markets? Join our webinars and get analysis and trading ideas combined with better understanding on how markets work.

Andria Pichidi
Market Analyst
HotForex

Disclaimer: This material is provided as a general marketing communication for information purposes only and does not constitute an independent investment research. Nothing in this communication contains, or should be considered as containing, an investment advice or an investment recommendation or a solicitation for the purpose of buying or selling of any financial instrument. All information provided is gathered from reputable sources and any information containing an indication of past performance is not a guarantee or reliable indicator of future performance. Users acknowledge that any investment in FX and CFDs products is characterized by a certain degree of uncertainty and that any investment of this nature involves a high level of risk for which the users are solely responsible and liable. We assume no liability for any loss arising from any investment made based on the information provided in this communication. This communication must not be reproduced or further distributed without our prior written permission.

Offline HFblogNewsTopic starter

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Re: Hotforex.com - Market Analysis and News.
« Reply #39 on: February 08, 2019, 11:40:29 AM »

Date : 8th February 2019.


MACRO EVENTS & NEWS OF 8th February 2019.






FX News Today


* 10-year Treasury yields are down -1.1 bp and JGB yields dropped -1.7 bp to -0.038% as Asian stocks tumbled on growth concerns and pessimism on US-Sino relations, with markets worrying that there won’t be a trade deal in time to prevent another round of tariff hikes.


* Asked whether he would meet Chinese President Xi Jinping before the March 1 deadline US President Trump said “No”, before adding “unlikely”, although he suggested they would “maybe” meet later.


* Topix and Nikkei lost -1.86% and -1.96% respectively today. The Hang Seng fell back -0.215, after returning from holiday, while mainland China markets remained closed.


* The ASX is down after the RBA slashed its growth projection to 2.5% from 3.25% with its quarterly statement on monetary policy today. The CPI forecast was cut to 1.25%.


* Growth warnings in Europe yesterday saw European and US markets closing with broad losses. The negative growth backdrop and heightened risk aversion is keeping bond markets supported.


* Oil prices fell back to USD 52.26 per barrel.


* Fed’s Bullard promotes caution on balance sheet unwind. He declined to say how close the Fed is to ending balance sheet unwind process but said “We are closer than I thought we were a year ago”.


Charts of the Day





Main Macro Events Today


* Russia Interest Rate Decision – No surprises are expected from the Russian Central Bank which is expected to keep its interest rate at 7.75%.


* Canada Labour Market Data – Canadian data are expected to show a slight deterioration in the economy in January, as net change in employment is forecast to be lower than December while the unemployment rate is forecast to have grown to 5.7%, compared to 5.6% in December.


Support and Resistance Levels





Always trade with strict risk management. Your capital is the single most important aspect of your trading business.


Please note that times displayed based on local time zone and are from time of writing this report.


Want to learn to trade and analyse the markets? Join our webinars and get analysis and trading ideas combined with better understanding on how markets work.

Dr Nektarios Michail
Market Analyst
HotForex

Disclaimer: This material is provided as a general marketing communication for information purposes only and does not constitute an independent investment research. Nothing in this communication contains, or should be considered as containing, an investment advice or an investment recommendation or a solicitation for the purpose of buying or selling of any financial instrument. All information provided is gathered from reputable sources and any information containing an indication of past performance is not a guarantee or reliable indicator of future performance. Users acknowledge that any investment in FX and CFDs products is characterized by a certain degree of uncertainty and that any investment of this nature involves a high level of risk for which the users are solely responsible and liable. We assume no liability for any loss arising from any investment made based on the information provided in this communication. This communication must not be reproduced or further distributed without our prior written permission.

Offline HFblogNewsTopic starter

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Re: Hotforex.com - Market Analysis and News.
« Reply #40 on: February 11, 2019, 09:53:57 AM »

Date : 11th February 2019.


MACRO EVENTS & NEWS OF 11th February 2019.






FX News Today


* Stocks in Asia traded mixed, amid lingering concerns over US-Sino trade relations and doubt whether the talks will bring sufficient progress to prevent another round of punitive tariffs.


* Chinese equities rallied after returning from last week’s holiday, with small caps and stocks in the tech hub of Shenzhen rallying. The Hang Seng was up 0.46% as of 6:30GMT the CSI 300 up 1.62% and Shanghai and Shenzen Comp climbed 1.18% and 2.58% respectively.


* Japanese markets were closed for a holiday, so Treasury futures won’t trade either until Europe opens.


* Elsewhere in Asia bonds traded mixed with Australia outperforming as the ASX underperformed and dropped -0.17%.


* Chinese Vice Premier Liu He will meet Treasury Secretary Mnuchin and Trade Representative Lightizer in Beijing for high level talks this week.


* Meanwhile the government in Washington may be heading for another shutdown, which is adding to caution in wider markets.


* US futures are slightly in the red, while European futures moved slightly higher. The front end WTI future is trading at USD 52.22 per barrel.


Charts of the Day





Main Macro Events Today


* Swiss CPI – The inflation rate in Switzerland is expected to have stood at 0.6% y/y in January, down from 0.7% y/y in December.


* UK GDP and Production Data – UK GDP is expected to have stood at 1.4% y/y in the final quarter of 2018, compared to 1.5% y/y growth in Q3. Manufacturing production is expected to have declined by 0.7% y/y, compared to a decline of 1.1% y/y in November. Industrial Production is expected to have increased by 0.2% m/m, compared to a decline of 0.4% in November.


* US Unit Labour Cost – US Unit Labour Cost growth are expected to have stood at 1.7% in 2018Q4, compared to 0.9% in the third quarter.


Support and Resistance Levels





Always trade with strict risk management. Your capital is the single most important aspect of your trading business.


Please note that times displayed based on local time zone and are from time of writing this report.


Want to learn to trade and analyse the markets? Join our webinars and get analysis and trading ideas combined with better understanding on how markets work.

Dr Nektarios Michail
Market Analyst
HotForex

Disclaimer: This material is provided as a general marketing communication for information purposes only and does not constitute an independent investment research. Nothing in this communication contains, or should be considered as containing, an investment advice or an investment recommendation or a solicitation for the purpose of buying or selling of any financial instrument. All information provided is gathered from reputable sources and any information containing an indication of past performance is not a guarantee or reliable indicator of future performance. Users acknowledge that any investment in FX and CFDs products is characterized by a certain degree of uncertainty and that any investment of this nature involves a high level of risk for which the users are solely responsible and liable. We assume no liability for any loss arising from any investment made based on the information provided in this communication. This communication must not be reproduced or further distributed without our prior written permission.

Offline HFblogNewsTopic starter

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Re: Hotforex.com - Market Analysis and News.
« Reply #41 on: February 12, 2019, 09:15:57 AM »

Date : 12th February 2019.


MACRO EVENTS & NEWS OF 12th February 2019.






FX News Today


* Stock markets remain supported by improving risk appetite, with investors hoping for progress in US-Sino trade talks.


* Japanese markets outperformed in catch up trade on returning from yesterday’s holiday and underpinned by a weaker yen.


* US lawmakers have reached an “agreement in principle” on funding for border security that would stop a second government shutdown on Friday.


* Brexit concerns continue to linger.


* Comments from ECB’s Lane, has underpinned speculation that Draghi will rule out another rate hike this year amid the expected downward revisions to growth forecasts.


* The front end WTI future is trading at USD 52.55 per barrel.3


* EURUSD went sub-1.1300 for first time in 6 weeks on generally firmer dollar.


* USDJPY rallied to 6-wk high of 110.64, underpinned by rally in global stocks.


Charts of the Day





Main Macro Events Today


* German President Weidmann speech – German President Weidmann is due to deliver a speech titled “The role of the central bank in a modern economy – a European perspective” at the University of South Africa, in Pretoria.


* BoE Carney speech – Due to speak about the economic outlook and global trade tensions, in London.


* Fed Chair Powell speech – Due to deliver a speech titled “Economic Development in High Poverty Rural Communities” at the Hope Enterprise Corporation Rural Policy Forum, in Mississippi.


* Fed Mester and George speech – Cleveland Fed hawk Mester will update the economic outlook and policy, while KC Fed hawk George will discuss “Charting America’s Economic Course.” Though both have been two of the most hawkish on the FOMC, each has recently indicated a pause is in order currently.


Always trade with strict risk management. Your capital is the single most important aspect of your trading business.


Please note that times displayed based on local time zone and are from time of writing this report.


Want to learn to trade and analyse the markets? Join our webinars and get analysis and trading ideas combined with better understanding on how markets work.

Andria Pichidi
Market Analyst
HotForex

Disclaimer: This material is provided as a general marketing communication for information purposes only and does not constitute an independent investment research. Nothing in this communication contains, or should be considered as containing, an investment advice or an investment recommendation or a solicitation for the purpose of buying or selling of any financial instrument. All information provided is gathered from reputable sources and any information containing an indication of past performance is not a guarantee or reliable indicator of future performance. Users acknowledge that any investment in FX and CFDs products is characterized by a certain degree of uncertainty and that any investment of this nature involves a high level of risk for which the users are solely responsible and liable. We assume no liability for any loss arising from any investment made based on the information provided in this communication. This communication must not be reproduced or further distributed without our prior written permission.

Offline HFblogNewsTopic starter

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Re: Hotforex.com - Market Analysis and News.
« Reply #42 on: February 13, 2019, 10:05:03 AM »

Date : 13th February 2019.


MACRO EVENTS & NEWS OF 13th February 2019.






FX News Today


* 10-year Treasury yields are up 0.5 bp at 2.693% and JGB yields lifted 1.2 bp to -0.0013%.


* Stocks were supported by trade talk hopes as US President Donald Trump’s suggestion that he could see letting the March 1 deadline on China tariffs slide a little if the two sides were close to a complete deal helped to underpin sentiment.


* The negative sentiment that dominated much of the last months of 2018 continues to unwind, but markets will ultimately have to see permanent solutions and real results, otherwise they remain at risk of sliding back again.


* For now though markets are mostly in a positive mood and while the ASX closed with a loss of -0.26%, Topix and Nikkei rallied 1.06% and 1.34% respectively. The Hang Seng is up 1.21%, China’s blue chip index CSI is up 2.1% and the Shanghai Composite 1.92%.


* US futures are equally moving higher, as are European futures.


* Oil prices have also come back from the lows seen early in the week and the front end WTI future is trading at USD 53.64 per barrel.


* The calendar today has inflation releases for the UK and the US, with the Riksbank meeting not expected to post any surprises.


Charts of the Day





Main Macro Events Today


* Swiss CPI – The inflation rate in Switzerland is expected to have stood at 0.6% y/y in January, down from 0.7% y/y in December.


* UK Price Indices – The UK’s Price Indices are expected to continue close to their December levels, however at mixed outcomes. The Retail Price Index is expected to stand at 2.6% y/y compared to 2.7% last month, the PPI to increase to 3.8% y/y compared to 3.7%, while the CPI is expected to have stood at 1.9% compared to 2.1% in December.


* EU Industrial Production – Industrial production in the European Union is expected to continue its decline albeit at a slower pace, with a reduction of 0.4% m/m expected in the December data, compared to a 1.7% reduction in November.


* US CPI Inflation – Inflation is expected to have declined in the US, in association with the prevailing understanding of a slowdown in the economy, with the CPI expected to have increased by 1.5% y/y, compared to 1.9% y/y in December. Core CPI is expected to have increased by 2.1% y/y compared to 2.2%.


Support and Resistance Levels





Always trade with strict risk management. Your capital is the single most important aspect of your trading business.


Please note that times displayed based on local time zone and are from time of writing this report.


Want to learn to trade and analyse the markets? Join our webinars and get analysis and trading ideas combined with better understanding on how markets work.

Dr Nektarios Michail
Market Analyst
HotForex

Disclaimer: This material is provided as a general marketing communication for information purposes only and does not constitute an independent investment research. Nothing in this communication contains, or should be considered as containing, an investment advice or an investment recommendation or a solicitation for the purpose of buying or selling of any financial instrument. All information provided is gathered from reputable sources and any information containing an indication of past performance is not a guarantee or reliable indicator of future performance. Users acknowledge that any investment in FX and CFDs products is characterized by a certain degree of uncertainty and that any investment of this nature involves a high level of risk for which the users are solely responsible and liable. We assume no liability for any loss arising from any investment made based on the information provided in this communication. This communication must not be reproduced or further distributed without our prior written permission.

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Re: Hotforex.com - Market Analysis and News.
« Reply #43 on: February 14, 2019, 10:46:27 AM »

Date : 14th February 2019.


MACRO EVENTS & NEWS OF 14th February 2019.






FX News Today


* 10-year Treasury yields are up 0.2 bp at 2.704% and JGB yields fell back -0.8 bp to -0.025% as the rally on stock markets faded.


* Wall Street still closed with slight gains, but there wasn’t enough momentum to sustain a further broad move higher in Asia.


* Topix and Nikkei closed little changed and the Hang Seng is down -0.26% while CSI 300 and Shanghai Comp are up 0.33% and 0.13% respectively, after Chinese data showed a rebound in exports at the start of the year.


* The tech hub of Shenzhen outperformed with a gain of 0.93%, but the ASX closed with a marginal loss.


* US futures as well as European futures are moving higher though, so there is still some life in markets after reports that the US is considering delaying China tariffs for 60 days. President Trump had already told reporters that trade talks are making good progress.


Charts of the Day





Main Macro Events Today


* EU GDP – The common currency’s GDP is expected to have grown by 1.2% y/y in the final quarter of the year, the same growth rate recorded in Q3.


* US Retail Sales – One of the most important indicators of consumption, Retail Sales ex Autos are expected to have grown by 0.1% m/m in December, compared to 0.2% m/m in November.


* US PPI Inflation – In accordance with the slowdown picture in the US, PPI inflation is expected to have slowed to 2.5% y/y in January, compared to 2.7% y/y in December.


* US Jobless Claims – Continuing Jobless Claims are expected to have increased to 1.74M on the week ending at January 8, compared to 1.736M last week. Initial Jobless Claims are expected to have decreased to 225K compared to 234K the previous week.


* Brexit Vote –Theresa May has put a new motion before Parliament asking to allow her to continue negotiating, in order to seek changes to the backstop.


Support and Resistance Levels





Always trade with strict risk management. Your capital is the single most important aspect of your trading business.


Please note that times displayed based on local time zone and are from time of writing this report.


Want to learn to trade and analyse the markets? Join our webinars and get analysis and trading ideas combined with better understanding on how markets work.

Dr Nektarios Michail
Market Analyst
HotForex

Disclaimer: This material is provided as a general marketing communication for information purposes only and does not constitute an independent investment research. Nothing in this communication contains, or should be considered as containing, an investment advice or an investment recommendation or a solicitation for the purpose of buying or selling of any financial instrument. All information provided is gathered from reputable sources and any information containing an indication of past performance is not a guarantee or reliable indicator of future performance. Users acknowledge that any investment in FX and CFDs products is characterized by a certain degree of uncertainty and that any investment of this nature involves a high level of risk for which the users are solely responsible and liable. We assume no liability for any loss arising from any investment made based on the information provided in this communication. This communication must not be reproduced or further distributed without our prior written permission.

Offline HFblogNewsTopic starter

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Re: Hotforex.com - Market Analysis and News.
« Reply #44 on: February 15, 2019, 11:37:22 AM »

Date : 15th February 2019.


MACRO EVENTS & NEWS OF 15th February 2019.






FX News Today


* USD under pressure from that weak data yesterday, as US retail sales mix has revived concerns about the global growth outlook and without tangible results, markets seem unwilling to invest any more in trade talk hopes.


* Euro slipped under 1.1300 (1.285), as Germany’s flirt with recession has also shifted the focus to flagging growth in Europe, which has its own trade dispute with the US.


* GBP pressured from another lost Brexit vote for the Government, moving under 1.2800.


* Overnight Chinese CPI and PPI both missed expectations and Japanese Industrial Production remained woeful. Gains in AUD (under 0.7100) and NZD (0.6825) were reduced.


* Stock markets closed narrowly mixed on Wall Street with the USA100 managing a slight gain, while USA30 and USA500 were pressured by disappointing Retail Sales.


* In Asia most markets headed south, with Chinese indices underperforming. CSI and Shanghai Comp had rallied in recent sessions on hopes that another round of punitive tariffs could be avoided and that Trump would push out the March 1 deadline to give talks more time to progress, but the blue chip CSI 300 lost 1.58% today and the Shanghai Comp lost 1.13%, while the tech hub of Shenzen outperformed slightly, but also declined by 0.27%. The JPY dropped to 110.28 while Topix and Nikkei closed with losses of 0.79% and 1.13% respectively and the Hang Seng declined by 1.86%.


* US futures are also broadly lower, suggesting a somber close to the week. Oil prices tested the USD 55 per barrel mark before returning to $55.54 per barrel.


Charts of the Day





Main Macro Events Today


* UK Retail Sales – Retail Sales ex-Fuel are expected to have increased in January, to 3.0% y/y, compared to 2.6% in December.


* US Industrial Production – Industrial Production is expected to have increased by 0.1% m/m in January, compared to 0.3% m/m in the previous month.


* Michigan Consumer Sentiment – Sentiment is expected to have rebounded as markets anticipate that the preliminary reading will see it increase from 91.2 in January to 93.0 in February.


Always trade with strict risk management. Your capital is the single most important aspect of your trading business.


Please note that times displayed based on local time zone and are from time of writing this report.


Want to learn to trade and analyse the markets? Join our webinars and get analysis and trading ideas combined with better understanding on how markets work.



Dr Nektarios Michail
Market Analyst
HotForex

Disclaimer: This material is provided as a general marketing communication for information purposes only and does not constitute an independent investment research. Nothing in this communication contains, or should be considered as containing, an investment advice or an investment recommendation or a solicitation for the purpose of buying or selling of any financial instrument. All information provided is gathered from reputable sources and any information containing an indication of past performance is not a guarantee or reliable indicator of future performance. Users acknowledge that any investment in FX and CFDs products is characterized by a certain degree of uncertainty and that any investment of this nature involves a high level of risk for which the users are solely responsible and liable. We assume no liability for any loss arising from any investment made based on the information provided in this communication. This communication must not be reproduced or further distributed without our prior written permission.


 

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