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Small players absorb twice as much Bitcoin as is mined by miners

The general public's interest in Bitcoin is growing every year, something clearly reflected in the decreasing share of whales (>1,000 BTC) and miners and the increase in shrimp (<1 BTC) and crabs (1-10 BTC). Detailed statistics on holder cohorts are provided by the analytical agency Glassnode.



In the early days of the Bitcoin industry, the main holders were miners. As recognition grew, crypto enthusiasts and investors began to show interest, leading to a flow of coins to new market participants. The subsequent increase in mining difficulty, coupled with fierce competition, accelerated this process. In the second half of 2022, public miners sold more coins than they mined.

If we exclude lost Bitcoins (which have not seen movement for more than seven years), miners' holdings have shrunk to just 3.8% of the entire circulating supply.



In contrast, increased interest in Bitcoin from the general public means that shrimps' supply has grown by 105% of what miners produced in the past year, while crabs have added 119%. Their combined share increased from 13.9% to 17% over the past two years.

The current accumulation rate by shrimp is 24,000 BTC per month, while at the time of the FTX crash, it reached 92,000 BTC a month. In total, this cohort currently holds 1.3 million BTC.



Crabs are slightly less active, with a current accumulation rate of 7,300 BTC per month and a total holding of 2 million BTC.



And while crabs are more cautious in their assessments of Bitcoin's prospects, shrimp are absorbing BTC in 2023 at an increased rate.



The increased demand for the cryptocurrency is due to the bankruptcy of several banks in the US and the potential spillover of this regional problem into a global financial crisis. A number of economists believe that the Fed will have to backtrack and not further tighten its monetary policy.

Bitcoin could be boosted today by Fed Chairman Jerome Powell's speech. The Fed is in a very difficult position, as maintaining a high key interest rate increases the risk of recession and new fissures in the financial system. A rate cut, on the other hand, would lead to rampant inflation and increased interest in risky assets.


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Off-topic / Is creating an NFT marketplace profitable?
« Last post by James Anders on Today at 02:00:40 PM »
NFT marketplace typically results in profits. There are multiple ways they can get cash. Minting fees are costs incurred by NFT creators in order to produce an NFT. The cost a user incurs in order for their NFT to appear on the marketplace for sale or trade is known as the listing fee. NFT gaming marketplace are gaining everyone's attention and become a source of passive income.
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Купить или продать криптовалюту через обменник означает совершить быструю и безопасную транзакцию на проверенных сервисах. Однако, выбрать правильный обменник криптовалют может оказаться непосильной задачей, так как их достаточно много в интернете и они представляют совершенно разные условия. Поэтому мы хотим не только рассказать вам о том, как можно выгодно обменять криптовалюту с помощью мониторинга Exchangesumo, но и поделимся преимуществами, которые могут предоставить различные обменники относительно остальных способов (биржи и P2P) покупки или продажи крипты.


Обменник, биржи или P2P – что выгоднее для обмена криптовалют?


Криптобиржи


Когда речь заходит об обмене криптовалюты, одним из самых популярных способов является обмен на бирже. На нём можно найти обширный выбор криптовалют, высокую ликвидность и минимальный спред. Но когда речь заходит о выборе фиатных способов оплаты или освоении, то начинаются трудности, так как новичку будет сложно сориентироваться и он может легко потерять большую сумму на комиссиях. При этом сам процесс обмена может занять куда больше времени. Не следует забывать и о таком факторе как верификация личности, которую необходимо проходить на каждой крупной бирже. Это, порой, ставит под вопрос анонимность пользователя и сохранение его данных в тайне.



[size=78%]Первый вид обменников запрашивает номер кошелька и номер банковской карты.[/size]•   Второй вид обменников, запрашивает номер кошелька и номер банковской карты, а также персональные данные и фото банковской карты.
•   Третий вид обменников, дополнительно ко всем вышеперечисленным данным, могут запросить фото вашего паспорта, но только в редких случаях, если у обменника есть подозрение на нечистое происхождение ваших денежных средств или если сумма покупки криптовалюты очень большая.

Таким образом, мы можем выделить ряд преимуществ обмена криптовалют через обменники:

•   Регистрация в обменнике не обязательна – именно поэтому вы сможете совершить быстрый обмен криптовалют в обменнике;
•   Курс обмена остается фиксированным на некоторое время – это поможет избежать колебания цен и сделает обмен крипты комфортнее;
•   Не всегда есть требование к проверке личности – это позволяет анонимно и безопасно проводить операции, когда это необходимо;
•   После подтверждения перевода средств, криптовалюта зачисляется на ваш кошелек мгновенно – вы получаете деньги быстро, без дополнительных комиссии на ввод и вывод денежных средств.
•   Вы можете получать различные бонусы за пользование обменниками, например кэшбек. Обменники часто проводят конкурсы, в результате которых победители получают денежное вознаграждение. И да, конкурсы и бонусы отображаются в нашем списке!

Выбрать лучший криптообменник, который предоставит наиболее выгодный курс обмена, вы сможете в сервисе мониторинга обменников ExchangeSumo! Наш сервис дает страховку до 3000$, чтобы пользователи могли быть абсолютно спокойны за свои средства!

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6
ETHUSD and LTCUSD Technical Analysis – 23rd MAR, 2023


ETHUSD: Double Bottom Pattern Above $1612

Ethereum was unable to sustain its bearish momentum and after touching a low of $1612 on 15th Mar, the price started to correct upwards against the US dollar touching a high of $1835 on 19th Mar.

We have seen a bullish opening of the markets this week.

The prices of Ethereum are ranging near a new record high of 1 month.

We can clearly see a double bottom pattern above the $1612 handle which is a bullish pattern and signifies the end of a bearish phase and the start of a bullish phase in the markets.

ETH is now trading just above its pivot level of 1749 and is moving in a mildly bullish channel. The price of ETHUSD is now testing its classic resistance level of 1752 and Fibonacci resistance level of 1754 after which the path towards 1800 will get cleared.

We can see the formation of both bullish harami and bullish harami cross patterns in the daily time frame.

The relative strength index is at 46.05 indicating a neutral demand for Ether and a shift towards the consolidation phase in the markets.

The STOCHRSI is giving an overbought signal, which means that the price is expected to decline in the short-term range.

Most of the technical indicators are giving a buy market signal.

Most of the moving averages are giving a buy signal at the current market level of $1650.

ETH is now trading above both the 200 hourly simple and 200 hourly exponential moving averages.

  • Ether: bullish reversal seen above the $1612 mark.
  • The short-term range appears to be mildly bullish.
  • ETH continues to remain above the $1700 level.
  • The average true range is indicating less market volatility.

Ether: Bullish Reversal Seen Above $1612


ETHUSD has been successful in crossing the $1800 barrier after which we have seen some pullback action in the markets due to the US Fed raising the interest rates, but this is temporary and we will again see ETHUSD touching the $1800 level soon.

We can see the formation of the bullish trend reversal pattern with the adaptive moving average AMA50 in the 4-hour time frame.

The Williams percent range is indicating a neutral level in both the 15- and 30-minute time frame.

ETHUSD touched an intraday low of 1715 in the Asian trading session and an intraday high of 1754 in the European trading session today.

The key support levels to watch are $1696 which is a 3-10-16 day MACD moving average stalls, and $1717 at which the price crosses the 9-day moving average.

ETH has decreased by 1.88% with a price change of 33.62$ in the past 24hrs and has a trading volume of 12.527 billion USD.

We can see an increase of 18.44% in the total trading volume in the last 24 hrs which appears to be normal.

The Week Ahead

ETH was successful in crossing the $1800 handle and touched a high of $1835 after which we can see some downwards correction. After the price stabilizes, we are looking for fresh upsides in the range of $1800 to $1900 levels.

We can see the formation of a bullish ascending channel from $1612 towards the $1843 level.

The immediate short-term outlook for Ether has turned mildly bullish, the medium-term outlook has turned bullish, and the long-term outlook for Ether is neutral under present market conditions.

The resistance zone is located at $1800 which is a pivot point 1st resistance point and at $1845 which is a 1-month high.

The weekly outlook is projected at $1900 with a consolidation zone of $1850.

VIEW FULL ANALYSIS VISIT - FXOpen Blog...

Disclaimer: This Forecast represents FXOpen Companies opinion only, it should not be construed as an offer, invitation or recommendation in respect to FXOpen Companies products and services or as Financial Advice.
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Yesterday’s interest rate decision by the U.S. Federal Reserve (Fed) and the subsequent press conference by chairman Jerome Powell were met with a very bearish reaction from traditional financial markets, as well as Bitcoin and crypto. The Bitcoin price briefly touched $29,000 before falling as low as $26,600.


However, the question arises, what has changed about the bull case for Bitcoin anyway? The US banking sector continues to face unresolved issues, while Fed chairman Powell and US Treasury secretary Janet Yellen sent conflicting signals.



Bitcoin Waits For Next Bank Bailout


The Fed voted unanimously to raise the federal funds rate by 25 basis points (bps). Not a single voting member of the Fed wanted to pause or cut rates.



During the press conference, Powell stressed that further increases “may be appropriate” and would be decided “meeting by meeting” based on available data. Despite a collapse of the regional banking system, he said the Fed is not worried – but these comments do not reflect reality.


Just two weeks ago, the Fed was convinced that interest rates needed to rise faster. The base case was a 50 basis point rate hike. If the banking system is as “sound” as the Fed claims, why didn’t it raise by 50 basis points? Because, as he noted also, the current banking crisis corresponds to an increase in interest rates due to the credit crunch.




It is also interesting that Powell and Yellen spoke at exactly the same time. While the Fed was raising rates, Yellen said that the Federal Deposit Insurance Corporation (FDIC) will not guarantee all deposits, whereas the day before she had said she would consider guaranteeing all deposits.

The Fed and the US government seemingly want an image that shows that the crisis is under control. In reality, they have not yet found a solution for the banks. Meanwhile, Powell sent mixed signals, saying the Fed is determined to support the banks but does not expect any rate cuts this year.

Bill Ackman, founder and CEO of Pershing Square Capital Management, described this mess on Twitter. Ackman criticized Yellen for withdrawing implicit support for small banks and depositors yesterday while also making clear that system-wide deposit insurance is not being considered.

We have gone from implicit support for depositors to Yellen explicit statement today that no guarantee is being considered with rates now being raised to 5%. 5% is a threshold that makes bank deposits that much less attractive. I would be surprised if deposit outflows don’t accelerate effectively immediately.

According to Ackman, a temporary system-wide deposit guarantee is necessary to stop the hemorrhaging of smaller banks. “The longer the uncertainty continues, the more permanent the damage is to the smaller banks, and the more difficult it will be to bring their customers back,” the renowned hedge fund manager said.

What Does This Mean For The BTC Price?

For the Bitcoin and crypto market, it is a matter of digesting the data today. Basically, though, it has come as expected, especially the Fed’s rhetoric, which has to guide market expectations.

Meanwhile, market futures are forecasting rate cuts of 100 basis points by December, which would mean a total of four rate cuts from June. This is the Fed’s biggest divergence from the market ever.


As analyst Michaël van de Poppe explained, Powell has done the obvious. “He needs to continue hiking the interest rates, while he’ll add more to the balance sheet to save banks. Bitcoin corrects and I think we’ll go down some more. It’s not a great recipe to go bullish into an FOMC event.”

In light of the ongoing banking crisis, analyst “@tedtalksmacro” has a different recipe for Bitcoin’s success, “We need to wait for the next bank to blow up before we can get excited again,” adding “First interesting level to the downside for me is ~25k, otherwise a flip of 30k will grab my interest. Patience.”

At press time, the Bitcoin price was at $27,586 after failing to break resistance at $27,700.






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Bitcoin discussion / Build Feature-Rich Bitcoin Exchange Software
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